It is hard to say.
You may die more early and never develop ES that bad.
You may drink enough to never have any ES consciously.
You might reduce ES because alcohol takes away stress.
You could undermine your health and help growing ES.
My, merely wild, guess, is that chances are as follows :
10 % , 30 % , 10 % and 50 % respectively ( generally ).
> What effects have alcohol on ES? Does it better or worsen the condition?
It might cause you to feel better in the moment, but it's also likely to contribute to whatever's causing your ES in the first place, making it worse in the long run (e.g. liver not working as well, immune system not working as well, increased acids in your tissues)